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Private equity in India to continue upward trend
A Business Correspondent
Tuesday, August 24, 2010, 10:50 Hrs  [IST]

Untitled22.jpgIndia's economic environment improved last year, recording GDP growth of 7.4 per cent in the fiscal year ending March 31, 2010. While the concerns over the fiscal deficit and inflation remain, both companies and consumers are confident of future sustained business and economic growth. The Government of India has reinforced this confidence, targeting economic growth of 8.5 per cent in 2011.

Momentum from the last quarter continued, with the April- June 2010 quarter witnessing PE deals worth $1.5 billion. Although this is 30 per cent lower compared with the prior quarter, it is still 70 per cent higher compared with the average quarterly aggregate PE deals in 2009, which amounted to $884 million.

Large PE deals (those valued above $50 million) maintained the momentum they gained in the last quarter with seven such deals, but there was only one major deal ($200 million and above) compared with three in the last quarter, E&Y noted. Most large PE deals involved global PE firms, reflecting their continued interest in, and attraction towards, India. Fundraising saw a revival on the back of resumed activity from domestic PE houses, with more than 15 domestic PE houses either announcing or raising funds worth $3 billion.

The current quarter saw only two PE-backed IPOs, possibly due to the volatile equity markets.

These were some of the findings by Ernst & Young, the global leader in assurance, tax, transaction and advisory services, in its fourth edition of Private Equity Roundup, a quarterly newsletter on trends and perspectives related to PE activity in India.

"Looking ahead, we are cautiously confident, since the global economic environment remains a concern. While uncertainty prevails in Europe with the sovereign debt crises and slow economic growth among several developed economies, PE activity in India in 2010 is expected to be higher than in 2009. However, it remains to be seen if we will return to pre- Lehman 2008 levels," Ernst & Young observed.

 In the second quarter of 2010 (2Q10), India saw 57 PE deals, cumulatively valued at $1.5 billion. This was the second-highest quarterly performance in the last seven quarters. Both 1Q10 and 2Q10 recorded deals worth more than $1 billion after a subdued 2009, during which no quarter crossed the $1 billion mark. In addition, the aggregate deal value for the first six months of 2010 is now almost equivalent to that of the whole of 2009.

For the last three years, infrastructure has continued to attract significant PE investments, accounting for 28 per cent of total PE deal value in 2Q10. The PE deal value in financial services has remained consistent and cement and building products witnessed a single, but significant PE deal. Healthcare and retail and consumer products have also seen considerable deal activity during this quarter.

In terms of deal volume, technology has maintained its growth trend and has garnered a large number of PE deals in 2Q10. The education and healthcare sectors have improved significantly by deal volume, with five and four deals, respectively, in the same quarter, Ernst & Young stated.

 In 2Q10, infrastructure saw four PE deals, collectively worth $412 million. GMR Energy, a company engaged in power generation, transmission and distribution, saw investments of $300 million from two deals-Singapore government-owned Temasek Holdings made an investment of $200 million, while a consortium of investors led by IDFC Private Equity including Argonaut Ventures and Ascent Capital invested an additional $100 million.

Seemingly, the power sector remains a favourite with PE. In the first half of 2010, the sector witnessed seven PE deals worth $779 million.

Another notable PE deal was Actis LLP's $78 million investment in TRIL Roads, a joint venture between Actis and Tata Realty and Infrastructure Ltd for road and highway projects in India. The JV ownership ratio is 65:35, with Tata Realty holding the majority stake.

According to Ernst & Young and FICCI's India Infrastructure Summit '10, the Government of India has encouraged private sector participation to develop road projects and has also announced numerous policy changes. These include 100 per cent FDI for the roads sector and model concession agreements.

In addition, funds allocated to road transport in the budgetary estimates (BE) of 2010-11 amounts to approximately $4.3 billion, compared with $3.7 billion allocated in BE 2009-2010, reflecting an increase of more than 13 per cent. Thus, substantial investment is required in the sector, and PE firms may find interesting investment opportunities in funding road and highway projects in the country.

Outlook
There are signs that the increase in PE activity in India over the last two quarters will continue its upward trends, Ernst & Young said. On the supply side, robust GDP growth forecast and increasing confidence should lead to higher investments and higher deal activity. On the demand side, a number of funds, including the global PE houses, are sitting on significant amounts of "dry powder" and are increasingly looking at investment opportunities in emerging markets, particularly India and China. However, although these domestic factors should support greater deal activity, Eurozone related issues are still a concern in the global economy.

"The core infrastructure sectors- power, roads and highways, and construction-are likely to see continued PE deal activity. Furthermore, PE houses are also likely to pursue investment opportunities in the domestic demand-driven sectors including education, healthcare, and retail and consumer products," Ernst & Young added.
 
                 
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