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Challenges and opportunities in low-income housing sector
PM NEWS BUREAU
Tuesday, August 31, 2010, 16:30 Hrs  [IST]

URBAN INFRASTRUCTURE

Untitled12.jpgMadhusudhan Menon, Chairman, Micro Housing Finance Corporation Ltd, looks at the current low-cost urban housing scenario in India from the perspective of town planners, policymakers, developers and financiers, and says, "A coordinated and well thought-out plan needs to be put into place, if we are serious about getting close to achieving the objective of ensuring a decent living environment for our people."

India's urban population of over 300 million has grown five times over the last 50 years and is expected to reach 50 per cent of the total population within the next 25 years.

Over 30 per cent of the total population is now urban and uses less than 2 per cent of the total land available.

The overall shortfall in urban housing has been conservatively estimated at over 25 million homes that need to be built over the next three to five years.

The total investment required just for building these homes is also estimated conservatively at over rs1.jpg5 trillion.

Close to 90 per cent of the demand for these urban homes is from households with annual incomes less than rs1.jpg300,000 that too mostly (90 per cent) being from the informal sector. Almost all of them currently live in cramped conditions in urban slums or worse, paying a higher per square foot rental than the more prosperous segments of the urban population. They also pay for water and sanitation facilities on a pay per use kind of model, making the cost of living even in these pathetic conditions quite expensive.

The above numbers paint the grim picture of the deteriorating urban situation and the huge challenges facing town planners, policymakers, developer's financial institutions and other stakeholders. A coordinated and well thought-out plan needs to be put into place, if we are serious about getting close to achieving the objective of ensuring a decent living environment for our people. Increasing urbanisation driven by reducing employment opportunities in rural India is bound to put further pressure on urban housing and infrastructure, and it is imperative that the plan has to look at least 5 to 10 years forward before making investments today. We will look at the situation from the town planners, policymakers, developers and financing perspective.

Town planners
We need to think of cities of the future, rather than the patchwork solutions on the existing cities. As the economy shifts from agrarian to industrial to service orientation, jobs will tend to be more scattered and a lot more of the employment force will tend to work from homes or in smaller groups. So well-planned satellite cities with good infrastructure and good connectivity to markets will be the need of the future. Appropriate investments need to be made in localised education and healthcare so travel from these cities is minimised.

Lack of availability of land banks and the high land and transaction costs in the existing cities are already so prohibitive that it is almost impossible to create affordable housing. Appropriate land banks need to be identified for future development of integrated townships where large-scale housing developments can take place. Supporting infrastructure for transportation, communication, sanitation, education, healthcare and work opportunities need to be part of the planning input that town planners need to put into place.

Government
For the central, state and local governments the challenges are multiple and immense. Multiple regulatory clearances that are required for large developments delay projects and drive costs upwards. Governments also have a responsibility to ensure that investments are facilitated into the lower cost segments.

Untitled13.jpgAlmost all the new housing currently being built by the private sector is targeted towards the upper middle class and highincome groups and the government has to incentivise creation of housing stock for lower income groups by waiver of stamp duties for stock exclusively created for lower income groups. The revenue authorities need to already consider waiver of taxes that are inbuilt into the costs of inputs like cement and steel. It has been estimated that approximately 30 per cent of the input costs that go into construction are taxes in various forms, which are non-VATable for the end buyer.

The government needs to view this initiative as a social imperative and be prepared to make some immediate revenue sacrifices. These revenue sacrifices can be recouped at a later stage when these vibrant communities start creating new employment opportunities, and start spending on consumables and consumer durables.

Developers
For the developers low-cost housing represents a huge market, immune to price fluctuations and a great hedge to their existing portfolios. However, they need to make a major shift in the way they currently operate. They need to view this segment more as a commodity type business where cost and speed of construction needs to be minimised, stock created in large quantities to achieve economies of scale, and sold quickly to move on to new projects. The good old attitude of profiting from price increases caused by delays will just not do for this segment.

So an assembly line approach to building, adoption of better and cheaper construction materials and technologies will help in reducing costs and freeing up capital for new projects. The developers who build quality at a reasonable cost will in the long run create a brand and be able to build a long-term business model in a market that has huge potential and is immune largely to economic cycles, due to the huge pent-up demand.

Financing
One of the major hurdles to the development of low-cost housing on a large scale has been thelack of financing for the end buyer. It is a fact very few homes are bought without mortgage financing, regardless of the income levels. The developers build for the higher income group, because only they have access to mortgage financing. It is also a fact that the income levels in urban India have gone up considerably over the last 20 years. These segments live in abysmal conditions, paying high rents (estimated over rs1.jpg10 per sq. ft per month), and has poor yet expensive access to basic amenities like water, power and sanitation. The lack of access to financing had inhibited this segment from acquiring decent housing.

We hence need to create housing finance companies with an exclusive focus on the lower income groups, who understand the challenges of customer identification, aggregation, credit verification, and mortgage delivery and servicing at a low cost. These housing finance companies in turn need to build partnerships with micro finance institutions which have good access to customers from this segment, with technology and mobile operators to reduce delivery and communication costs and with capital providers to reduce overall mortgage costs to the end customer.

Innovative approaches to analysing and understanding credit risks will facilitate scaling up and in reducing transaction costs. The fact that the underlying asset backing this financing is in short supply, should be of comfort to those providing the financing, and also ensure that the borrower has a commitment to service the mortgage.

At the macro level, the government and the regulators like RBI and NHB need to work towards ensuring adequate capital flow to this initiative. Given the massive investment requirements, the current curbs on free flow of foreign capital needs to loosen, so that developers and housing finance companies focused on the lowcost segment have access to this source. They also need to build a deep and liquid long-term debt market, so that investors and users have the ability to match tenor and return expectations.

Finally, the creation of a well capitalised mortgage credit insurance company along the lines prevalent in most advanced economies will enable the proper pricing of risk and in itself ensure continuous flow of resources to this segment.

To conclude, the low-income housing sector has many challenges, but is a huge business opportunity for those who understand it and are willing to wait out the evolution of the eco system. Proper facilitation from the government and new approaches from town planners, developers and housing finance companies can create a unique business opportunity while at the same time create a huge social change.
 
                 
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