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Infrastructure Industries: On the rise

Dr. M.S. Kapadia <br>Economic Research India Ltd.

The six infrastructure industries, which account for 26.7 per cent weight in the index of industrial production (IIP), recorded 6.9 per cent increase in output during August. The performance came over a 10 per cent rise in the preceding month and over 5 per cent average rise in the first three months of the current fiscal. The average growth of 6.7 per cent during April-August 2002 was also vastly better than one per cent nominal rise recorded a year ago.

Going by this robust performance of the infrastructure industries in first five months and the more broad- based index of industrial production during the first four months of the current fiscal, it would appear that the industry has by and large battered the initial impact of the drought described as one of the worst in past several years.

All six industries recorded  YoY improvement in growth rates during August as also during the first five months of 2002-03.

Cement output increased by 12.2 per cent in August, which came after a new recent high growth rate of 23.5 per cent in July. The average growth during April-August 2002 worked out to 11.6 per cent.

Finished steel was another bright spot with its growth rate accelerating to 13.2 per cent in August, from 10.4 per cent in July and 7.6 per cent in June. The average growth during April-August worked out to 8.9 per cent.

Coal output increased by 5.9 per cent in August, which came after a double-digit growth in June-July. The average growth during April-August worked out to 7.6 per cent.

Electricity generation increased by 3.8 per cent, reversing the rising trend of past two months. The growth rate for the month as for the first five months of the current fiscal were however better than their respective levels in the preceding year. Reflecting poor southwest rains, hydropower declined by 24 per cent in August, against 19 per cent in July. The loss was made good by the stepped up thermal generation, which increased by 12 per cent each in July and August. Thermal power accounted for 80 per cent of total power from public utilities during 2001-02, hydro accounted for 16 per cent and nuclear 4 per cent

Petroleum products sub-group increased by around 6.6 per cent in July-August. June had seen a dip in the growth to 2.6 per cent from an average growth of 8 per cent in April-May. The fiscal 2001-02 had witnessed considerable volatility with the industry recording 3.5 per cent average growth during the year.  

In crude petroleum oil, the positive YoY growth, which had started from September 2001, continued in the current fiscal also. The average growth during April-August 2002 worked out to 6.3 per cent.

Production Performance of Six Infrastructure Industries

(Year-over-Year % change )

 

Weight

August

April-August

 

(%)

2002

2001

2002-03

2001-02

 

 

 

 

 

 

Electricity

10.17

3.8

2.8

4.1

2.9

Coal

3.22

5.9

2.2

7.6

0.7

Finished Steel

5.13

13.2

-4.4

8.9

-0.9

Crude Petroleum

4.17

8.5

-5.7

7.5

-4.5

Petroleum Products

2.00

6.7

6.6

6.2

5.6

Cement

1.99

12.2

6.9

11.6

1.2

Overall

26.68

6.9

1.3

6.7

1

Email: mskapadia@projectstoday.com


Infrastructure Industries: On the rise



 

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