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Money & Banking

Dr. M.S. Kapadia <br>Economic Research India Ltd.

Non-food credit: On the rise      

Non-food credit increased by Rs.5,942 crore in the fortnight ended 6 September. The YoY growth scaled to 26 per cent, from 25.5 per cent as of August-end and 21.7 per cent as of 3 May. The net incremental credit between 3 May and 6 September amounted to Rs.24,752 crore, which is over seven times the rise of Rs.3,347 crore in this period of the preceding fiscal.

 

The data on money and SCB reflect the impact of merger of ICICI with ICICI Bank from 3 May 2002. The impact, which has been quantified at Rs.42,592 crore, constituted around 2.7 per cent of M3 as of 3 May.

 

SLR investments decline

The investments by SCB in government and other approved securities declined by Rs.3,049 crore during the fortnight. The YoY growth dropped to 22 per cent from a recent high of 23.4 per cent in the preceding fortnight.

 

M3 growth eases

The YoY growth in broad money (M3) eased to 16.8 per cent from 17 per cent in the preceding fortnight. The growth rates have dropped to around 16.8-17 per cent from 17.5 per cent during May-mid-June.

 

Net forex assets increased sharply by 35 per cent over the past twelve months period, over and above a 28 per cent rise recorded a year ago. This constituted 39 per cent of the incremental M3 during the period.  Net forex assets with RBI were 1.15 times the domestic currency in circulation.

 

Reserve money            

Reserve money declined by Rs.12,311 crore during the week ended 13 September. This neutralized partly the Rs.22,504 crore rise in the preceding week. The YoY growth dropped back to 9 per cent from 10 per cent. Domestic assets showed a decline, but forex assets with RBI shot up by 39 per cent over the past twelve months. Net RBI credit to government, a traditional measure of monetisation of fiscal deficit, showed a 17 per cent decline on a YoY basis.

Money & Banking Indicators

 

As on

Outstanding

% change till date over past…..

 

 

 

 

Rs.billion

Week/fort/

12 months

Since March

 

 

 

month

Curr. Year

Prev. Year

Curr. Year

Prev. Year

Broad Money (M3)

6-Sep-02

       16,368

0.4

16.8

17.7

9.1

6.7

Net Credit to Government

6-Sep-02

         6,384

0.5

13.7

17.8

8.9

9.6

RBI

6-Sep-02

         1,406

4.8

-12.2

1.6

-7.6

4.1

Commercial Banks

6-Sep-02

         4,978

-0.6

24.1

25.8

14.6

12.0

Bank Credit to Commercial Sector

6-Sep-02

         8,263

0.7

19.7

12.6

9.3

1.6

Net Forex Assets of Banking Sector

6-Sep-02

         3,519

1.4

34.8

28.0

11.8

4.5

Reserve Money *

13-Sep-02

         3,338

-3.6

9.1

6.7

-1.2

0.8

SCB Deposits

6-Sep-02

       12,246

0.5

18.2

19.7

11.0

7.7

SLR Securities

6-Sep-02

         4,986

-0.6

21.9

23.2

13.8

10.5

Bank credit

6-Sep-02

         6,582

0.9

24.7

13.9

11.6

3.2

of which, Non-food Credit

6-Sep-02

         6,021

1.0

26.0

10.8

12.4

1.3

* Change over week

 

** Change over month

 

 

 

Email: mskapadia@projectstoday.com

 


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